Alrighty, so it's been a long troublesome journey but I think my Notos is finally performing how it should. In the end I think it was a bad barrel, how lucky I am that there are folks out there like
@Firewalker and c88 machining to offer up options to change barrels out!
I am getting much improved accuracy compared to the original barrel, an example can be seen here:
Those are 5 shot groups with JTS 18.1gr domes at 20yd from bags. It may not look like that much of an improvement but from my perspective it feels huge. The consistency is finally there and I feel like I can finally start building my own skill as a shooter.
@nervoustrig commented on it before and it aligns with my experience that the POI shifts between pellets was due to some funkiness in the stock barrel, because what used to be shifts of 6+ inches between pellets has been reduced to fractions of an inch.
I did do one other final mod to try and lock down any potential shift points, I hacked off the forward picatinny plastic. Without the stock moderator holding things in place everything was a little wiggly and having a large lever that could shift my front scope ring seemed bad. Of course this left me with a bare barrel which wouldn't do (especially if I intended to fold everything up and shove it into a backpack), so I kludged together a new foregrip and barrel cover seen here:
and then further kludged it to fit onto my print bed, since I was too cheap to buy a full sized 3D printer:
Here it all is finally together:
Now you may notice my moderator looks a bit silly, that's because while I was waiting for the barrel to arrive (it was late, likely due to fire and ice) I got antsy and bought a plenum from c88 off eBay. Well once the plenum was installed it extended the air tube past the barrel! So I had to modify the moderator to taper so that it would all fit. I was one final modification away from where I ended up.
I've been using a 3d printed moderator found on forums, developed by Subscriber (GTA forums iirc) and it's been working great, however there was no external stop with that design. This meant that with my new barrel I could keep on turning the moderator and it would walk itself right on past the threads (somewhat destroying itself without ever getting 'tight'). So back into my preferred CAD program to add this internal stop:
And so there you have it, a long journey (and several long posts) all pointing to the conclusion that buying cheap means rolling the quality control dice. Thank you to everyone who contributed ideas and helped me along in figuring this all out. Especially
@Firewalker , you do excellent work man.
That said I'm gonna be totally lost if you find absolutely nothing wrong with my stock barrel, hah!