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Shoot-offs, tie breakers etc

With the holidays here, I had some nice time to ponder some things. On another forum, there was a discussion about tiebreakers, mixed with a bit of grumbling about positionals. 

It was pleasantly discussed about alternative options to avoid shoot-offs. Specifically, the positional element of a shoot-off... and so on.

I have been thinking about this topic since the implementation of the AAFTA rules what about a year ago? Every occasion a monthly match rolls around, most if not all shooters are not in any mood to do a shoot-off. We have done the first-miss, longest streak, last-person-that-leaves-wins (that helps with clean-up), even rock-paper-scissors to avoid a shoot-off. At the last GP we had, we implemented the shoot-off as instructed, with absolute precision. And as a result, it was as fair as it could be. Thinking about this over the year and spurred by this other post, I though id interject some thought into this over here.

One method that seems to me as the fairest method of determining a win without a shoot-off would be to rank the misses based on the target's Troyer scale. Yes, this would take a bit of mathing, however it seems incredibly fair and easy. The way it would work would be for the scorers to add up the missed shot's Troyer score, and the shooter with the lowest number wins. Essentially, demonstrating the shots that were hit... were harder targets, and therefore the winning shooter would simply be a better shooter by hitting a higher number of harder shots.

This concept may sound familiar. In other airgun matches (Benchrest), there is the integer (8 ,9 ,10, X) method, and in other events the decimal system is utilized 8.9, 9.1, 10.4 etc). Whereas the best representation of the better shooter is always found in the decimal system. FT is a simpler binary system, hit or miss!

Then always thinking how much of an effect this would be on the MDs to implement, I looked at our last GP, and we had a total of four ties ranging from 13 misses to 44 for ties in the top five. that would mean at worst adding up only 44 numbers each. Not too daunting. Since every GP event is a well-charted match with the MD carefully mapping out every lane beforehand, this wouldn't be hard at all to figure out. In addition, the fairness of this is quite stunning. The only variability would be where you started on the course and what the winds developed into. However, a reasonable response to that would be that the statistical layout of a course is pretty averaging and equalizing considering nears and fars at every lane, exposed parts at another end, and positionals at another, etc., and those top shooters are paired and grouped on the second day anyway.

Some interesting thoughts, and thanks for letting me share mine. 

But then again the suspense of a shoot-off is always fun too... if you are not shooting it lol.

Garrett

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*edit. Please understand I’m not trying to change anything, just continuing another discussion that I thought was interesting and provided some very interesting and fun discussions and challenges


 
Personally…I like shoot offs. I like watching them and I prefer being in one over a mathematical solution. I’ve never been to a FT match that had shoot offs that were not attended by almost everyone. That, to me, suggests that others like them too.

The problem with the Troyer scale is that it’s well known to be fairly flawed as a means of accurately assessing target difficulty at differing distances. For example….if you put out a 10y 3/8 kz and a 40y full 1.5” and allowed 2 shooters to select which one they wanted to shoot for a win….nobody in their right mind would choose the 40y target…despite them both being the same Troyer number.

Mike
 
There is certainly the entertainment factor with shoot-offs, that's for sure.

I agree about the Troyer flaws. The wind is never calculated for those that are really affected by it (ie WTF'ers). However, factoring wind effects into your example... the T score you reference at 10 (3/8") and 40 yards (1.5") is 26.7, if appropriately using the wind factor of .25, and applying it to the farther target, that brings the Troyer down to 20. And for that, it buys you a 1.5" at 30 yards, or a 2" KZ at 40. then all of a sudden that changes things a wee bit... or not. lol


 
Was involved in FT matches for over 30 years, no one was ever happy no matter how a tie was settled !!! Helped with local, state, regional, national and worlds twice. Someone always feels the other guy has an advantage in some way, even down to who has more expensive equipment. I have been involved in quite a few shootoffs myself over the years, won some and lost some, you congratulate the winner and move on. It is a game people, it is only bragging rights, not millions of dollars ridding on the outcome. If you are to be considered the best shot of a particular match then that means you should be good at whatever type of shot is required if a tie should occur. I know...everyone complains about having an offhand shot for a tiebreaker, so what, I never liked 50 yard shots, had better chance at a 25 yd one inch offhand than the full size 50 yard. Yep we all have our weaknesses, it is a sport, participate in the sport it is....learn to shoot all the different positions if you want to be the best for that day. I always shot a springer.....had many shootoffs with a pcp competitor, had many offhand tie breaker shots, had a couple way up high in a tree small kz tie breakers, so what....had fun...won some lost some, but in the end, enjoyed the day. If your worried about what type of a shot will be needed in a tie, stay home...quit going to matches, that way you wont be put in an unfair position !!!
 
I like the way Wayne Burns did it in OR this past spring. Both shooters took 3 shots from their regular position, in this case it was bucket and sticks. He kept moving the distance back if both hit all three until someone got best of the three. It’s exciting for the spectators watching and the three shots each minimizes the luck factor. 
 
Shoot offs and prizes are always tough to do right, whatever that is. Shoot offs are fine (and fun) for the big matches where everyone is hanging around. Club matches are different. We have people coming from distance for our one day match and they want to hit the road as soon as they are done because of traffic and drive time and I can't fault them for that. The simplest thing to do is use a tie breaker lane to break ties. I usually use the standing lane and see which shooter got the highest number of targets there ( covered in the shooters' meeting). If they are tied there then I just go to the next lane and so on. Trying to go back and evaluate what targets/lanes are the most difficult or setting up shoot off lanes is just too much work at the end of a match. Realize that a match can NEVER be totally fair anyway but we do the best we can. It's always a rush at the end to get scores tallied and winners identified and the tie breaker lane works well for us.

Rick B. FTRPA

PS Just as an example, one of the shooters tied to win his division at our last match left before the awards were given out! He has a long drive.
 
At the club in Port Colborne, Canada, when I was match director, we had three identical targets made with .75" zones. Depending on the class shooting off, the first distance could be anywhere from 15 to 30 yards. They were set out side by side and shooters given 1.5 minutes to range and shoot from seated position or their chosen position. Both went down, they were moved back and procedure repeated. We had some great shoot offs and it was always decided before we hit the 55 yard mark.

Tim
 
"...add up the missed shot's Troyer score, and the shooter with the lowest number wins...."

That's fine. But it was originally a tie, so it also means that winner is the person that missed the most easy shots.


Right… I should have said "...add up the missed shot's Troyer ratings, and the tied shooter with the lowest sum of Troyer rating of their missed shots ranks higher in the tied ranking ...."
 
I like the way Wayne Burns did it in OR this past spring. Both shooters took 3 shots from their regular position, in this case it was bucket and sticks. He kept moving the distance back if both hit all three until someone got best of the three. It’s exciting for the spectators watching and the three shots each minimizes the luck factor.

LOL ... unless your the one in SAID shoot off. That was a pretty crazy bit of time that still ended in a draw.
 
Garrett, As the winner of the second place shoot off with the Red Ryder, I can say it WAS hilarious and fun. 

For me, having been in so many shoot offs I can't count them, I feel the shoot offs and the pressure of a crowd, brings out the best in us.

I would not be happy with the old coin flip, and or a mathematical solution. I had a second place win at the Crosman AA, on a coin toss against a good friend. I felt it was not deserved. (But my friend decided to do the toss, not me) 

The shoot off shows who is cool under pressure and adds to the fun. As said, we are not shooting for money, just bragging rights. 
 
I agree 100%. We've implemented that here. Both shooters are timed and shoot at the same time. I've seen it where a shooter will kick around their bag, stretch, ask stupid questions, etc, all in a way to subvert the wind waiting for it to calm down. or their heart rate to calm down lol. 

I've attached a worksheet that we use. It's based on the latest AAFTA rules of course, ...And with time constraints added in for fairness. It's cool because anyone who is new and interested in being MD for a day can run the shoot-off... with consistency and uniformity. 

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View attachment GP FT Shoot-Off Worksheet Sample.1638413389.pdf

Garrett
 
With the holidays here, I had some nice time to ponder some things. On another forum, there was a discussion about tiebreakers, mixed with a bit of grumbling about positionals. 

It was pleasantly discussed about alternative options to avoid shoot-offs. Specifically, the positional element of a shoot-off... and so on.

I have been thinking about this topic since the implementation of the AAFTA rules what about a year ago? Every occasion a monthly match rolls around, most if not all shooters are not in any mood to do a shoot-off. We have done the first-miss, longest streak, last-person-that-leaves-wins (that helps with clean-up), even rock-paper-scissors to avoid a shoot-off. At the last GP we had, we implemented the shoot-off as instructed, with absolute precision. And as a result, it was as fair as it could be. Thinking about this over the year and spurred by this other post, I though id interject some thought into this over here.

One method that seems to me as the fairest method of determining a win without a shoot-off would be to rank the misses based on the target's Troyer scale. Yes, this would take a bit of mathing, however it seems incredibly fair and easy. The way it would work would be for the scorers to add up the missed shot's Troyer score, and the shooter with the lowest number wins. Essentially, demonstrating the shots that were hit... were harder targets, and therefore the winning shooter would simply be a better shooter by hitting a higher number of harder shots.

This concept may sound familiar. In other airgun matches (Benchrest), there is the integer (8 ,9 ,10, X) method, and in other events the decimal system is utilized 8.9, 9.1, 10.4 etc). Whereas the best representation of the better shooter is always found in the decimal system. FT is a simpler binary system, hit or miss!

Then always thinking how much of an effect this would be on the MDs to implement, I looked at our last GP, and we had a total of four ties ranging from 13 misses to 44 for ties in the top five. that would mean at worst adding up only 44 numbers each. Not too daunting. Since every GP event is a well-charted match with the MD carefully mapping out every lane beforehand, this wouldn't be hard at all to figure out. In addition, the fairness of this is quite stunning. The only variability would be where you started on the course and what the winds developed into. However, a reasonable response to that would be that the statistical layout of a course is pretty averaging and equalizing considering nears and fars at every lane, exposed parts at another end, and positionals at another, etc., and those top shooters are paired and grouped on the second day anyway.

Some interesting thoughts, and thanks for letting me share mine. 

But then again the suspense of a shoot-off is always fun too... if you are not shooting it lol.

Garrett

<img src="" style="width:24px;height:24px;margin-right:5px;margin-top:-4px;vertical-align:middle" />
download.png
example.1637971068.png


*edit. Please understand I’m not trying to change anything, just continuing another discussion that I thought was interesting and provided some very interesting and fun discussions and challenges


Garret,

Your suggestion to count up misses by Troyer factor to settle ties exacerbates the problem of forcing shooters that can’t kneel and so shoot kneelers offhand. Since these shooters effectively use a higher troyer factor than reported on those misses, if “kneelers” are counted for these guys rather than offhand its not cool … even so, kneelers are typically farther, to the shots need recalculated as offhanders.

LD