Umarex Notos first shot is off

In my recollection, whenever I had a random massive deflection like this it was a slightly loose barrel or moderator. A couple of shots shifted things to a happy place but when the gun was transported, it got out of whack.

sorry, that's all I got, best of luck!
Thanks, the chrono should be here tomorrow so I can get a little data then. Hoping to get it figured out
 
@nervoustrig @Vetmx yesterday the problem stopped? Not sure what happened? I haven’t changed anything or tightened anything. The first shot is now back on target. This is so odd and really bugging me on why it happened… I’m definitely not mad it corrected itself.

I finally got the chrono in today and told yall I would run the numbers. The shot FPS with H&N Barracuda extremes 18.52 grain are as follows:

669.8
674.4
677.6
672.5
670.6
665.8
662.9
669.1
668.2
662.1
665.3
667.5
665.3
 
I have not experienced large lateral shifts due to velocity variations. If this returns, you might try removing the two pins on the moderator and checking to see if the insert is loose or has debris that might on occasion hang into the shot path. A blast of air or two might shift it and that induces the variable response. Or, you may have just shot a piece of debris clear of your pellets passage and life will be good for here on. hope so.
 
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I have not experienced large lateral shifts due to velocity variations. If this returns, you might try removing the two pins on the moderator and checking to see if the insert is loose or has debris that might on occasion hang into the shot path. A blast of air or two might shift it and that induces the variable response. Or, you may have just shot a piece of debris clear of your pellets passage and life will be good for here on. hope so.
Let’s hope the later is the case
 
I know what fixed it. The same thing that fixed your illness when you were a kid and your mom said I’m taking you to the doctor. Your gun got scared when it saw the chronograph. No more being lazy, playing games or messing around. Now it can’t get away with it.
Hahahahaha now that’s funny! I’m gonna have to keep the chrono in the same room with gun so it doesn’t start slipping again.