Quick run down how creep / regulator setting plays into this so intimately, more importantly residual hammer energy after cracking the valve, which also applies to balanced valves and stiction.
At 2,000 psi, a .22 caliber airgun conventionally may have 190bs of force holding it shut. A balanced valve may take that down to 114 lbs when balanced around 60%. A pilot valve such as the one in my gun has 24 lbs on the pilot which is the only concern for the below.
If you experience even just 5% creep, you go from 190 lbs to 199 lbs holding it shut conventionally, 114 to119.5lbs balanced, and from 24 to 25 lbs with the pilot valve in my gun.
The hammer/spring then has to overcome the extra 9, 5, or 1 lb of force holding the valve shut. Balanced valves also have to overcome stiction regardless of how well made/tuned they are due to the nature of dynamic o-rings with a large pressure delta on either side, conventional and pilot valves do not, so balanced valves add another variable into the equation that is not favorable for extreme spread.
When tuned closer to plateau, you're imparting more hammer energy, roughly at least 15-20% more. Your plateau at 2000 psi may be 900 fps, but at 2100 psi its 920 fps. So if you tune to 98% which makes for about 882 FPS, and after sitting, your hammer has to overcome 2100 psi which with more energy going into cracking the valve then creating lift dwell, you'll have reduced power, but alas with 20 more fps on top for plateau, it shouldn't be greatly reduced, since your hammer energy is then about 4% away from plateau, and still within reason, very likely your fps variability remains within reason as well, because cracking the valve consumed a bit of the hammers energy, the remaining energy to create lift is enough to make comparable power at 2100 psi as it was at 2000 psi because the exchange in slightly reduced lift with less remaining hammer energy is compensated by the extra potential 100 psi flowing passed the poppet.
Now if you go and tune 6% from plateau, that means you're around 846 fps, your reg creeps to 2100 psi, your slightly reduced hammer energy means that there is less left over energy to create enough lift at the 2100 psi mark, thus throwing the reduced lift and extra air release out of balance, to the point the extra air released can't compensate for the reduced lift and you experience a wider spread/ES.
-Matt